Falcera

USD/CHF / PLAN

USD/CHF: weekly plan

Published: 21 Sept 2026, 05:21 UTC · revision 1

USD/CHF: weekly plan

Weekly plan · 21–25.09.2026

USD/CHF: weekly plan

We consider a continuation of the recovery after a fresh support test. The main weekly target is the daily area above the recent highs.

Context

D1/H4 broke above the September base before correcting. Former resistance is conditional support; the recent high is an intermediate target before the older daily area.

The Fed hike may support the dollar. The SNB decision on September 24, 11:30 +4 GMT, and conference at 12:00 may change the balance; the outcome is unknown. U.S. PMI: September 23, 17:45 +4 GMT.

Plan conditions

A new post-publication H1 tests support at 0.81760–0.82000 and closes above 0.82050 but below 0.82550. The scenario remains inactive until then.

Target 1 is 0.82550–0.82640; Target 2, the main weekly area, is 0.83090–0.83410. A support revisit is conditional; the long-term downtrend remains a counterweight to the recovery.

Native H4 close below 0.81520. This loses the base and structural low; a missing local confirmation alone does not invalidate the weekly idea. Plan: September 21–25.

Research method

Research · Falcera