USD/JPY: weekly plan

Weekly plan · 21–25.09.2026

USD/JPY: weekly plan

We consider renewed downside after a fresh resistance rejection. A return to the zone remains a condition.

Context

The rebound from the daily base stopped below the September peak. We consider renewed downside after a fresh resistance rejection; the strong recovery remains counterevidence.

Fed and BoJ rate hikes provide opposing arguments. Japan has holidays on September 21–23; its PMI date is disputed. U.S. PMI: September 23, 17:45 +4 GMT. Price must confirm direction.

Plan conditions

A new post-publication H1 tests resistance at 157.60–158.10 and closes below 157.50 but above 155.95. The scenario remains inactive until then.

Target 1 is 155.33–155.95; Target 2, the main weekly area, is 153.20–153.55. Last week’s strong recovery remains counterevidence to a decline; a resistance revisit is not assured.

Native H4 close above 158.60. A missing local confirmation leaves the scenario inactive. Plan: September 21–25.

Research method